You’ve probably seen the thing by now. A walking billboard critical of gender affirming care is confronted by a passerby who takes issue with the claim that doctors are physiologically or surgically altering the bodies of teenage girls, such as the administration of puberty blockers or the amputation of healthy breasts, by denying that this is happening. Confronted with evidence that these things are, in fact, happening, the passerby says that it’s a good thing that they are. Yet their initial denial indicated that surgically altering teenage girls was an objectionable thing used by the walking billboard to cast gender affirming care in a bad light.
This is the “deny-then-justify” response or, more technically, dissonance-driven reversal with rationalization. I watch these videos and think, “Do the thing.” I think this, too, in conversations on social media. I want it to happen, in part for my own amusement. But also, so I can deploy the Arthur Schopenhauer screen and avoid wasting my time; fools do the thing. I’m rarely disappointed.
Generally, the thing unfolds in two stages. First, when confronted with an implication of a standpoint that is inconvenient or threatens one’s self-conception, the individual initially denies that the implication is occurring. Denial serves as a defense mechanism, shielding the person from cognitive dissonance—the psychological tension that arises when holding contradictory beliefs or facing evidence that undermines cherished convictions. When the evidence becomes undeniable, the response shifts. Rather than abandoning the original standpoint, the individual reframes the inconvenient consequence as desirable, thereby restoring internal consistency. This rationalization converts what was previously a threat into a seemingly beneficial outcome, allowing the person to maintain allegiance to the original belief without overt contradiction.
Seeing this, one knows he is dealing with a fool. Intellectually, however, the thing itself is worth exploring. Moreover, on a practical level, one has to believe some will benefit from understanding it. Not everybody wants to be a fool. Human reasoning, ideally, is the pursuit of truth; in practice, it is profoundly shaped by psychological pressures and the desire to maintain a coherent self-image. Tribalism is linked to genetic variation in our species; some individuals are more prone to the pull of its gravity. For some, there is no overcoming its force; for others, there is hope. At least I would like to think so.
This thing can be understood as a combination of cognitive dissonance, motivated reasoning, and post hoc rationalization. Cognitive dissonance explains the mental discomfort that triggers denial. Motivated reasoning describes the selective processing of evidence to defend prior commitments. Rationalization accounts for the reinterpretation of reality to align with existing beliefs. One observes this dynamic in domains ranging from ideology and politics to personal decision-making and moral reasoning.
To educate people about this, I have published several articles on the various psychological pressures that compromise rational thought (see When Thinking Becomes Unthinkable: Motivated Reasoning and the Memory Hole; Why People Resist Reason: Understanding Belief, Bias, and Self-Deception; Living with Difficult Truths is Hard; A Recent Revelation from the Epstein Files Confirms One Thing: The Power of Motivated Reasoning). This essay adds to the catalog the “deny-then-justify” response to inconvenient implications of one’s beliefs or commitments.
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In this section, I illustrate the thing by leveraging a recent interaction with an individual whose demand for evidence appeared to deny that progressives want to shrink the proportion of white people in the world. For context, I had wondered in a social media post why progressives have a problem with a white majority in North America and Europe. To show that they do, I noted that, in 2015, then-Vice President Joe Biden, sitting next to Alejandro Mayorkas (later his DHS Secretary), said the following, verbatim:
“An unrelenting stream of immigration. Nonstop. Nonstop. Folks like me who are Caucasian, of European descent—for the first time in 2017—will be in an absolute minority in the United States of America. Absolute minority. Fewer than 50% of the people in America from then and on will be white, European stock. That’s not a bad thing. That’s a source of our strength.”
If one searches Google for the clip, Gemini (Google’s native AI bot) will warn users that clips often omit Biden’s note about diversity. The warning is a prebunking tactic. It means to leave the user with the belief that diversity is an unalloyed good, and that those who clip the future president’s remarks intentionally omit this to mislead others. I include Biden’s full point because it’s the diversity piece that must be interrogated.
To be clear, in my interaction with the individual on social media, I did not share the clip immediately, but simply noted that Biden had expressed the sentiment. I shared the clip after the individual expressed doubt that Biden had said this. Crucially, Biden wasn’t speaking abstractly about cultural enrichment. He explicitly tied the policy outcome—mass immigration creating a permanent white-European-stock minority—to America’s strength. I then noted that Chuck Schumer has made parallel arguments for putting millions of undocumented immigrants on a path to citizenship, explicitly linking it to low native birth rates and the need to “have a great future in America.”
When one supplies the evidence, the response is typically either silence or a demand for context. A changed mind would be the ideal outcome, but it’s usually the case that minds don’t change. Perhaps silence would be preferable to the thing. That’s what happened in this case: the person didn’t do the thing. Context doesn’t erase the plain meaning of Biden’s words: progressive voices celebrate demographic change that shrinks the historic white-European-descended majority. They call this “diversity.” They call it “our strength.” Then they implement policies that produce exactly that outcome. They open the borders and thwart mass deportations.
Progressives don’t merely know this—they promote it. These are straightforward facts. When confronted with them, if not falling silent, they often do more than rationalize them; they accuse those concerned with mass immigration of conspiracism rooted in racism. A man concerned with the diminishment of white people has bought into the “Great Replacement theory” and the myth of “white genocide.” They transform objections to the diminishment of a demographic category into its opposite. This is a key element in denying the truth of mass immigration.
There is a test of consistency here: If the argument is truly “diversity is our strength” and “more non-white immigration is good because it reduces the proportion of the current majority,” then the same logic must apply everywhere. I made this argument in my September 2025 essay Immigration, Colonialization, and the Struggle to Save the West. I want to reiterate the basic argument in today’s essay because it exposes the racism inherent in the pro-immigration argument.
Ask progressives to apply the appeal to diversity to South Africa. There, blacks of African stock are roughly 80 percent of the population; whites are less than ten percent. Suppose someone proposed nonstop immigration of non-blacks specifically to make black South Africans an absolute minority, calling it “diversity” and a “source of strength.” Would progressives cheer that? Of course not. They would rightly see it as colonization and demographic engineering against an indigenous majority. It would be a manifestation of white supremacy.
Europeans are the indigenous peoples of Europe, who spread Western civilization to the Americas at a time when those continents were sparsely populated (around twenty million pre-contact). If the policy is good when it shrinks white majorities in Europe and the Americas, it cannot suddenly become bad when it would shrink a black majority in South Africa. Not if one is consistent. The only consistent position is that every people has a legitimate interest in preserving its own cultural, demographic, and political majority in its historic homeland—or that none do. The progressive position rejects one and embraces the other only when the majority in question is white. That’s the double standard. My question thus remains: why do progressives have a problem with a white majority?
It isn’t because diversity is magically good only in white countries. It flows from an ideological framework that views European/Western history through a lens of perpetual guilt and power dynamics (colonialism, slavery, etc.). Under that gaze, any reduction in white demographic weight is framed as a matter of historical or social justice. Non-white majorities are perpetual victims; for tribal thinkers, the number of generations between colonialism and slavery is irrelevant. The result is selective application: demographic change is “progress” when it disadvantages the historic Western majority, and a “threat” when it would disadvantage anyone else. That isn’t color-blind policy or universal humanism; it’s a racially asymmetric moral standard dressed up as “diversity.”
None of this requires claiming diversity is always bad. Merit-based, voluntary, culturally compatible diversity can bring real benefits. But the empirical record on rapid, large-scale, low-assimilation demographic diversity is not the unalloyed good that progressives claim—far from it. Robert Putnam’s landmark research found that in the short-to-medium term, greater ethnic diversity correlates with people “hunkering down,” i.e., less volunteering, lower trust in neighbors (both in-group and out-group), reduced civic engagement, and weaker community bonds—even after controlling for education, income, and other factors. He called it the “constriction” effect.
Work on ethnic fractionalization by Alberto Alesina, William Easterly, and fellow researchers confirms Putnam’s thesis: higher diversity often correlates with higher transaction costs, lower public-goods provision, slower economic growth in some contexts, and greater risk of social fragmentation when assimilation lags or is ideologically condemned. These are measurable trade-offs, not bigotry. When policymakers treat demographic change as an unqualified moral imperative rather than a policy choice with costs, they are ignoring the data.
The question of whether any particular group is “better” is not an unimportant one. The West is a superior civilization; world history attests to this fact, not only because of its contributions to the advancement of science and technology, but also because it has spread equality, freedom, and democracy to those willing to embrace them. The call for restricting immigration is not about racism or xenophobia. Replacing whites with nonwhites is real. It is a core strategy of the globalization project. It displaces native workers, drives down wages, disorganizes culture, and weakens national integrity. There is racism, but it points in the opposite direction.
The question is a matter of consistency and realism. If progressives truly believe nonstop immigration that shrinks the white-European-stock majority is “a source of our strength,” they should be willing to defend the identical policy in South Africa, Japan, or any other nation. The fact that they don’t—and that the argument is applied asymmetrically—reveals ideology, not principle.
As for the realism piece, progressives can’t go there because it interferes with the managed decline of the West. This is what they must not admit to. Doing so gives away the game. This is why progressives dwell on supposed “white privilege,” “white supremacy,” and the “wages of whiteness.” White progressives prostrating themselves before black radicals during the Black Lives Matter riots was a physical manifestation of “white guilt.” For them, we must throw off the “unbearable whiteness of [fill in the blank].” We must “disrupt,” even “abolish” whiteness. The rhetoric is ubiquitous on the progressive left.
However, celebrating the decline of the “white, European stock” is strategic self-loathing. It advances the globalist project. A significant portion of the population has been conditioned to believe that the civilization that liberated people around the world from the racism of primitive tribalisms is itself racist. Justice requires opening the Western gate to the barbarian so that the perpetrators may atone for their sins. Woke progressivism had bred a generation of masochists eager to submit itself to cultural erasure. The appeal to diversity is designed to obscure that reality.
Whether those confronted with these facts do the thing is beside the point. Anticipating the counterpoint, progressives have already announced the second part of the “deny-then-justify” response: diversity is a good thing. The passersby confronting the walking billboard with the diversity argument will leave the interaction satisfied. But he will be just as satisfied by silence. The walking billboard is a racist (just as he is a transphobe when he objects to puberty blockers or genital mutilation). In the case of mass immigration, he won’t admit the guilt all white people share. It doesn’t matter to our passerby that diversity is a lie. And he cannot begin to entertain the argument that he’s the racist. The walking billboard’s pitch is prebunked by ideology. The passerby is a fool.
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In essence, the thing sequence illustrates a broader truth about human cognition: our species does not passively follow evidence, but actively interprets it in ways that preserve the narratives and the values held. The phenomenon highlights the subtle mechanisms by which individuals reconcile conflicts between belief and reality. Recognizing this pattern is not only analytically useful but also crucial for understanding debates and persuasion, as well as the complexities of human behavior.
It’s also a quick way to determine whether investing time in conversations will yield benefits. As I noted in a recent essay (The Scourge of the Scold), German philosopher Arthur Schopenhauer cautioned against arguing with fools. “Logic holds little power against stubborn ignorance. Such disputes waste valuable time,” I write there; “debating fools diminishes one’s own standing, as true intellectual victory is unattainable when faced with irrationality and pride.” Silence here is not because the wise man has no response; it is because he knows the fool cannot admit or comprehend it.
Schopenhauer’s advice is to avoid engaging altogether. I confess: I don’t always take the man’s advice. Others may confess to this, as well. Perhaps we suffer from too much optimism about our fellow man. We regard him as potentially reasonable. We are, after all, the same species. The fact that he can form a sentence is an indication that he is potentially rational, no? At any rate, my purpose here is to provide ammunition and awareness of the cognitive and emotional barriers to rational discourse. We don’t really argue in public because we know we can change our interlocutors’ minds in every instance. The real target is the audience.












